Nov. 6, 2016 HPI Daily Wire sponsored by Associated Builders & Contractors
WIDER PATH FOR CLINTON AS TRUMP SURGES:
With hours until Election Day, the wildest U.S. presidential race in
memory has grown more competitive in most of the battleground states,
although Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton continues to hold a broader
path to victory than Republican Donald Trump (Washington Post).
The political map suggests that Clinton can lose several key states long
assumed to be in her column and still reach the 270 electoral votes she
needs to win. Trump, meanwhile, has a new reason for optimism, as a
growing number of states appear potentially within his grasp. But to
win, he would have to take nearly all of them.
SECRET SERVICE REMOVES TRUMP FROM STAGE AFTER THREAT:
An unidentified individual yelled “gun” amid a commotion in the crowd
at a Donald Trump rally in Reno, the Secret Service announced late
Saturday, but no weapon was found in the area (Politico).
RECORD EARLY VOTE IN STATE:
More Hoosiers have voted early than during the previous two
Presidential elections. Unlike absentee voting, any registered voter can
vote early in-person for any reason. And Hoosiers are taking advantage
of that by the thousands. In 2008, a little over 662,000 Hoosiers voted
early (Indiana Public Media). This year, Hoosiers have already
broken that record by more than 2,000 people.
INDIANAPOLIS EARLY VOTING WAY DOWN FROM 2008:
On Saturday, November 5, there were 4,093 people that voted early in
the Marion County Clerk’s Office. As of the end of early voting today,
in-person early voting in 2008 is 36% higher than this time in 2016 (Howey Politics Indiana).
Absentee voting, inclusive of voting in-person, by mail, traveling
board, and military/overseas voting, is 23% higher in 2008 than this
time in 2016.
RECORD VOTING IN LAKE COUNTY: Voters in Lake County are turning out in record numbers to early voting sites in advance of Tuesday’s general election (Post-Tribune).
More than 37,500 voters had cast their ballots at one of 11 early
voting sites in the county by Friday morning.
RECORD VOTE IN FLOYD, HOWARD COUNTIES: In the last presidential election, 5,187 people voted early in Floyd County (News & Tribune).
Around 2 p.m. on Friday, the number of early voters had reached 14,330,
with more opportunities existing to vote early on Saturday and Monday.
As of Friday, roughly one-third of registered Howard
County voters have cast a ballot either by mail or at one of several
polling places, including the Government Center and eight satellite
locations. In total, roughly 22,000 ballots had been cast as of Friday
afternoon.
HOLCOMB CALLS FOR ‘HORSE POWER’:
In one of the last pushes ahead of Election Day next week, Republican
gubernatorial candidate Eric Holcomb and other GOP candidates met
Saturday with supporters in Northwest Indiana, urging people to keep the
momentum going (NWI Times). “All of our statewide offices are
completely reliant on the horsepower that in this room and in rooms like
this all over the state of Indiana,” Lt. Gov. Holcomb told the 150
people gathered at Rick Niemeyer Farm in Lowell — his final stop
Saturday night.
BAYH, GREGG STUMP IN LAFAYETTE:
Democratic supporters filled Thomas Duncan Hall on Saturday afternoon
to hear what their candidates from all across Indiana had to say
(Ellison, Lafayette Journal & Courier). Lafayette Mayor Tony
Roswarski welcomed all Democrats featured on Tuesday’s election ballot
as well as current democrats in office. “We are all in a close race, but we
can win this,” Gregg said. “I know you are all going to vote, and I
know you are going to talk to your family and friends. I need you to
reach out and talk with those who no longer identify with their party,
because together we can win.”
BAYH TO REPAY FOR INDY HOTEL BILLS: Evan Bayh will repay $737 in taxpayer money spent on overnight hotel stays in Indianapolis when he was still a U.S. Senator (Indianapolis Business Journal).
YODER SUGGESTS HOLLINGSWORTH COMMITTED FELONY:
Business paperwork filed in Missouri last October meant 9th
Congressional District candidate Trey Hollingsworth, who was already
living in Indiana by then, should have been living in Missouri (Beilman,
News & Tribune). It’s the sixth state recently surfaced for
which Hollingsworth signed as registered agent for Hollingsworth Capital
Partners, legally requiring the Republican candidate to live in each
state.
OBAMA WARNS THAT TRUMP CAN WIN:
“This should not be a close race, but it’s going to be a close race.
It’s going to be especially close here in North Carolina. The fact that
he has gotten this far tells me the degree to which our politics has
become like a bad reality TV show.” – President Obama, warning in North
Carolina that Donald Trump could win the presidential election on
Tuesday. This morning, CNN had Hillary Clinton at 268 in the Electoral
College, the first time she has been below the 270 threshold.
FiveThirtyEight now gives Clinton a 64.5% chance of winning.
CYBER ATTACKS DEMAND RANSOM FROM MADISON COUNTY:
The Madison County Commissioners met in emergency session Saturday
afternoon to discuss paying a ransom after a ransomware attack on county
government computers (Stephens, Anderson Herald-Bulletin).
HPI DAILY ANALYSIS:
When a campaign becomes emotional and obsessed about a poll, they are
seeing similar data and want to preserve the facade of confidence en
route to victory. This was the case with the Gregg gubernatorial
campaign on Friday after the release of the WTHR/Howey Politics Indiana
Poll, which showed the race tied at 42% with 11% undecided. Pollster
Gene Ulm who is contracted exclusively by HPI and WTHR-TV, commentator
Mark Souder and myself all expressed a path to victory for Gregg even
with a Trump surge and record voting underway in what we view as a
tossup race. Sources in both parties are expressing similar sentiments
both publicly and privately to us. The Gregg campaign chose to assault
my professional integrity as a journalist, which is disappointing. My
first responsibility to my subscribers and readers is to provide as
reliable and accurate data as possible, which then allows me to make
cogent forecasts. Over the past 22 years, I’ve compiled a reliable track
record at all these elements and that is why you subscribe. I’ll be
making my final forecasts on Monday after I assess the final hours of
this weekend and the early Monday approaches. – Brian A. Howey
CLICK HERE TO READ TODAY’S FULL HPI DAILY WIRE.
Source: Howey Politics
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