Nov. 1, 2016 HPI Daily Wire sponsored by Associated Builders & Contractors

SENATE RACE TIED, TRUMP UP 11%, GREGG UP 6% IN MONMOUTH POLL:  It
no longer looks like Democrats can count on Indiana for an easy “plus
one” in their bid to take control of the U.S. Senate, according to the
latest Monmouth University Poll (Howey Politics Indiana). Republican Todd Young has erased former senator Evan Bayh’s early advantage to pull into a tie for Senate.  Young’s
campaign gets an assist from the top of the ticket where Donald Trump
now holds an 11 point lead over Hillary Clinton for president.  Indiana
Democrats can take some comfort from the governor’s race, though, where
John Gregg is ahead of Eric Holcomb by 6 points.

LABOR MAKING 600K CALLS TO STOKE UP GREGG VOTE:
Labor leaders stung by setbacks during Republican rule of the
Statehouse are engaged in a massive effort to mobilize their members and
put a Democrat back in the governor’s office (Hayden, CNHI). As of Friday,
labor phone banks have made 260,000 calls as part of a months-long
campaign that also involves social media outreach and knocking on doors
to push for Gregg’s election and stress labor’s role in determining the
state’s future. The goal is 400,000 calls by Election Day, Nov. 8, to
tip the scales in favor of Greg.

COMEY BOMBSHELL HAS LITTLE IMPACT IN POLITICO POLL:
The race for the White House is tight, but it has not been radically
changed by the FBI director’s bombshell announcement last week. Hillary
Clinton has a slim three-point lead over Donald Trump one week before
Election Day, according to a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll conducted
entirely after FBI Director James Comey announced the discovery of new
emails that might pertain to the former secretary of state’s private
server. Clinton leads Trump 46 percent to 43 percent in a two-way race,
and 42 percent to 39 percent in a four-way race, with Libertarian
nominee Gary Johnson at 7 percent and the Green Party’s Jill Stein at 5
percent.

DITTO IN NBC/MONKEY, CNN POLLS; NO CHANGE IN NUMBERS:
Hillary Clinton’s 6-point national lead over Donald Trump remains
virtually unchanged since last week, even after FBI Director James Comey
announced the discovery of emails that could be “pertinent” to the
investigation of Clinton’s use of a private email server (NBC News).
In CNN’s Poll of Polls, which averages results for
the five most recently released national surveys, Clinton has a 47% to
42% advantage over Trump. That’s unchanged from the most recent Poll of
Polls on Saturday.

HILLARY SAYS ‘GO AHEAD, LOOK AT EMAILS’:
With eight days remaining until Election Day, Hillary Clinton told a
crowd of supporters here Monday that the FBI should hurry up and check
out the additional emails that agents said they found while
investigating the estranged husband of one of her aides (Associated Press).
“Go ahead. Look at them,” the Democratic nominee said.

CONTROL OF SENATE COULD GO DOWN TO THE WIRE:
The fight for the Senate remains quite close. Democrats have a 65
percent chance of taking control, according to [the FiveThirtyEight]
polls-plus model and a 62 percent chance according to polls-only (Enten,
FiveThirtyEight).

INDIANA COULD DETERMINE WHICH PARTY WINS SENATE:
Both parties see a close race for control of the U.S. Senate, and a
poll showing a dead heat between Democrat Evan Bayh and Republican Todd
Young in Indiana is sure to intensify the attention on the state
(Berman, WIBC).

VOTER FRAUD INVESTIGATION THREATENS LEGITIMACY, PROF SAYS: An
Indiana University law professor says state officials’ handling of a
possible voter fraud investigation threatens the legitimacy of the
election (Smith, Indiana Public Media).

STATE BUSINESSES CONCERNED ABOUT AGILE DEAL:
Indiana telecommunications businesses are concerned about a potential
deal between the state and an Ohio based data networking company
(Saliby, Indiana Public Media).

HPI DAILY ANALYSIS: While the Monmouth Poll here in Indiana attracted wide attention on Monday, it will be the WTHR/Howey Politics Indiana Poll
coming later this week that will provide one of the final looks at the
riveting Indiana presidential, gubernatorial, senatorial and 9th CD
races. Look for our exclusive coverage on Friday. Howey Politics Indiana
is your most complete source of political news, data, analysis and
commentary. – Brian A. Howey

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Source: Howey Politics